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The Most Accurate Formula for TDEE — Can anyone give me the ELI5 breakdown?

I understand that there are TDEE calculators in which you plug in a few values and get an estimate.

But I also know that there is a way you can calculate your TDEE with increasing accuracy as time passes, using your daily caloric intake and your daily weight.

Unfortunately, I am absolutely horrid at math, and the formula is scarce online, and typically shows up as a complex spreadsheet program rather than the pure math.

Can anyone clearly and simply produce and explain the formula? It would be much appreciated.

EDIT ONE: It seems like there was some confusion. Here is an example of what I am referring to.

EDIT TWO: More downvotes, but no one has yet to address the core question.

EDIT THREE: Got it! Thank you to all who contributed.

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Answer

The only accurate way would be a metabolic ward. You are locked in a room, the gas exchange is monitored, your food is all weighed, as is your poop. You also have body composition data like DEXA or Bodpod readings to figure out the proportion of differently metabolically active tissues.

There is no actually accurate way to know with maths, even if you weigh yourself daily. Your weight doesn’t indicate body composition. You could gain fat and lose muscle, your weight could stay the same, but you’d actually be eating in a caloric excess.

Answer

There are many different formulas. One of the OG was the Harris-Benedict

For men: BMR = 66.5 + (13.75 weight in kg) + (5.003 height in cm) - (6.75 * age)

For women: BMR = 655.1 + (9.563 weight in kg) + (1.850 height in cm) - (4.676 * age)

Answer

That adaptive TDEE spreadsheet that you linked would be the most accurate way to estimate your TDEE. Basically what it’s doing is taking a) your caloric intake over time and b) the change in your weight over time, and using those two pieces of information to calculate your TDEE. To illustrate how it works:

Suppose that you’ve been eating 2200 calories every day for the past 3 months, and over those 3 months, your weight stayed exactly the same. That would mean that your TDEE is around 2200 - which makes sense, since you were able to maintain your weight while eating 2200 calories on average.

But suppose your friend also ate 2200 calories every day for the past 3 months, and over those 3 months, they lost 6 pounds. That’s a rate of weight loss of around 0.5 lbs per week, which is equivalent to a deficit of 1750 calories weekly, or 250 calories daily (note: 1 lb = 3500 calories). So that would mean that their TDEE is around 2200+250 = 2450 calories.

This is essentially what the spreadsheet is doing, except that it’s taking into account every single data point (daily calorie intake and weight), rather than just looking at the start and end, as I’ve shown in my example.

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